TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that pay out based on the election result. The current implied chance for each candidate reflects the balance of bets placed, with volume of $6,490 showing total interest. Prices adjust continuously as new information arrives, letting participants express their view of who will win the Dane County vote.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official Dane County tallies, and the market settles based on that verified data — no speculation or interpretation is needed once the numbers are released.
Debates, endorsements, local scandals, or shifts in voter registration can all move this market. Strong debate performance from any candidate, surprise polling drops, or late-breaking news about issues important to Madison voters may cause rapid price changes. As Aug 11, 2026 approaches, trading volume often spikes on new information, reflecting updated expectations about who will carry Dane County.