TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 9:47 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Wingstop is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Wingstop's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.03 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wingstop reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Wingstop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Wingstop is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Wingstop's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.03 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wingstop reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Wingstop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they operate on different incentive structures. Analysts publish consensus estimates based on financial models and company guidance, while traders in this market stake real capital on the outcome, creating a direct financial penalty for inaccuracy. Historically, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than analyst consensus on binary corporate events. The odds here reflect traders' aggregated beliefs about whether Wingstop will beat quarterly earnings, incorporating both public analyst views and proprietary trader insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing the two outcomes: Wingstop beats earnings or it does not. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome is determined by supply and demand, with the current odds reflecting the proportion of capital allocated to each side. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the price continuously adjusts based on new trades and information flow.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once Wingstop's quarterly earnings results are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the company's reported earnings per share or net income against the consensus analyst estimates that were in effect at the time the market was created. If the actual result exceeds the consensus threshold, the market resolves to a beat; otherwise, it resolves to a miss. Resolution is confirmed once the earnings data is verifiable from credible public reporting.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Wingstop's same-store sales trends, franchise expansion announcements, and comparable restaurant industry performance all provide early signals about earnings trajectory. Analyst estimate revisions—either upgrades or downgrades—often trigger sharp repricing as traders incorporate new consensus data. Macroeconomic shifts affecting consumer spending on casual dining, changes in commodity costs, and management commentary during earnings calls or investor conferences can also move the market. Unexpected competitive developments or regulatory changes in the restaurant sector may influence trader positioning as well.