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Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
polymarket

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Jul 24, 2026, 12:31 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$188,001
Volume 24h:
$210
99%
Liquidity:
$35,937
22%
Open interest:
$39,969N/A

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

 - Polymarket

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

2%chance
Amount

$

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At 2.2¢ buys you 4,545 shares | Odds: 2% Total Payout: $4,545 | Net Profit: $4,445 Multiplier: 45.45x | ROI: 4,445% APY not meaningful 68 days to resolution
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Outcome
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
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polymarket

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 98¢
0.2¢
$35,937
$188,001
0.11%
27%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of risk. While analysts may issue detailed reports based on financial metrics, traders on Polymarket continuously adjust prices based on new signals, sometimes showing higher or lower expectations of bankruptcy risk than established research firms.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through buying and selling contracts that pay out if Wildberries files for bankruptcy before Jan 1, 2027. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective bet of participants, with price fluctuations driven by news, financial performance reports, and broader economic indicators affecting the company.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Wildberries officially declares bankruptcy — as defined by legal or regulatory announcements — before the deadline, the market settles accordingly. Otherwise, it resolves as ‘no’.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major financial announcements from Wildberries, changes in leadership, significant revenue misses, legal actions, or broader economic shifts impacting Russian e-commerce. Any news suggesting heightened bankruptcy risk — or assurances of stability — may cause rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities.