TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 9:19 PM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Virgin Galactic Hldgs is estimated to release earnings on August 12, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Virgin Galactic Hldgs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.64 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virgin Galactic Hldgs reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.64 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Virgin Galactic Hldgs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Virgin Galactic Hldgs is estimated to release earnings on August 12, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Virgin Galactic Hldgs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.64 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virgin Galactic Hldgs reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.64 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Virgin Galactic Hldgs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Currently, this market reflects trader sentiment through its probability pricing, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often publish detailed earnings estimates and confidence ranges based on financial models, whereas prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced opinions and may react more quickly to recent news or sentiment shifts. Comparing the two offers a view of whether the betting community is more or less optimistic than professional analysts about the company's performance.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will depend on the officially released quarterly earnings data for Virgin Galactic Hldgs, specifically whether the reported earnings per share and/or revenue figures exceed the consensus analyst estimates. Until then, market participants can continue to trade based on their expectations and any emerging news.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including pre-earnings announcements, analyst upgrades or downgrades, broader market movements affecting aerospace stocks, and any company-specific news such as operational updates or regulatory developments. Earnings preview articles, investor sentiment surveys, and even macroeconomic indicators could also influence trader behavior. Any new information that changes expectations for Virgin Galactic's performance relative to consensus estimates may cause rapid shifts in market odds.