TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Verizon Communications is estimated to release earnings on July 24, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Verizon Communications’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.27 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Verizon Communications reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.27 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Verizon Communications releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Verizon Communications is estimated to release earnings on July 24, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Verizon Communications’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.27 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Verizon Communications reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.27 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Verizon Communications releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they reflect different methodologies. Analysts typically issue point estimates and ratings based on financial models and company guidance, while prediction markets aggregate real-time beliefs from many traders who have financial incentives to forecast accurately. This market incorporates both published analyst consensus and trader conviction, sometimes pricing in forward-looking sentiment that formal estimates lag. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd expects surprises or where consensus may be too optimistic or pessimistic.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into continuous odds. Each share represents a claim on one outcome—either Verizon beats earnings or it does not. The price of each share fluctuates based on buy and sell pressure, with the two outcomes always summing to 100 cents. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price at resolution reflects the collective assessment of all participants who traded up to that deadline.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once Verizon's quarterly earnings results are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the company's reported earnings per share to the consensus estimate established before the announcement. If actual earnings exceed that consensus figure, the market resolves to a beat; otherwise, it resolves to a miss or meet. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting and official company disclosures.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Analyst estimate revisions—either raising or lowering consensus expectations—directly affect the beat threshold and can trigger repricing. Macroeconomic data on consumer spending, inflation, and telecom sector trends influence trader conviction about Verizon's performance. Company guidance updates, management commentary, and competitor earnings results also move sentiment. Broader market volatility, changes in interest rates, and shifts in investor risk appetite can affect how traders value the outcome. Real-time trading volume and positioning changes reflect evolving confidence as the earnings date approaches.