TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will USD/ILS be above __ at 16:00 UTC on June 19, 2026?
limitless

Will USD/ILS be above __ at 16:00 UTC on June 19, 2026?

Volume:
$1,332

2.9100

 - Limitless

2.9100 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 12:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

2.9100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

2.8500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.7¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

3.0200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
5.9¢
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves "YES" if the "Open" price of the USD/ILS 1-hour candle on TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=FX_IDC%3AUSDILS) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title at 16:00 UTC on June 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to 4 decimal places, used exactly as published. If the value cannot be retrieved from TradingView at the specified time, the market will resolve based on the value displayed on Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/USDILS=X/) at the same timestamp. If global FX markets are closed at the specified time (e.g., due to a weekend or major global holiday), the market resolves based on the most recent prior 1-hour "Close" published before the closure.

Limitless

This market resolves "YES" if the "Open" price of the USD/ILS 1-hour candle on TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=FX_IDC%3AUSDILS) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title at 16:00 UTC on June 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to 4 decimal places, used exactly as published. If the value cannot be retrieved from TradingView at the specified time, the market will resolve based on the value displayed on Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/USDILS=X/) at the same timestamp. If global FX markets are closed at the specified time (e.g., due to a weekend or major global holiday), the market resolves based on the most recent prior 1-hour "Close" published before the closure.

Frequently asked questions

The USD/ILS exchange rate market dashboard on Limitless tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction market. Traders monitor the implied probability that the US dollar will trade above a specified level against the Israeli shekel at the exact settlement time. The interface displays current market pricing, 24-hour volume activity, and order-book depth, allowing participants to assess liquidity and consensus sentiment around the dollar's strength relative to the shekel on the target date.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money commitments from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live market sentiment and breaking news. While financial analysts publish point estimates and ranges based on macroeconomic models, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability here to consensus economist views on USD/ILS can reveal whether traders are pricing in more hawkish or dovish scenarios than the mainstream consensus.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of participants to bet on whether the USD/ILS rate will exceed the threshold at the specified time. As new information emerges—central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price in real time.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by comparing the USD/ILS exchange rate to the specified threshold. The result is verified against credible public sources reporting the official rate at the settlement time. Once the rate is established and the outcome is clear, the market closes and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Major catalysts for this market include US Federal Reserve and Bank of Israel policy announcements, inflation and employment data releases, and geopolitical developments affecting Middle Eastern stability or US–Israel relations. Currency markets are also sensitive to global risk sentiment, oil price shocks, and broader dollar strength trends. Unexpected economic data, central bank communications, or regional tensions could trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the probability of the USD/ILS rate crossing the threshold by the settlement date.