TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
polymarket

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Volume:
$3,119

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

 - Polymarket

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 11:59 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Trump-Khamenei praise market dashboard displays real-time odds on whether former President Trump will publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday. The interface tracks the current price of the yes outcome, historical price movements, and trading volume as participants buy and sell shares. This market reflects trader conviction about the likelihood of such a public statement occurring within the specified timeframe. As traders update their positions based on news, statements, and political developments, the odds shift dynamically to reflect evolving market sentiment.

Prediction markets and traditional polls measure different things. Polls typically gauge public opinion or stated preferences on broad political questions, while this market prices the probability of a specific, verifiable event—a public statement by Trump praising Khamenei by a set deadline. Market odds incorporate real-time information, breaking news, and trader expertise, often adjusting faster than poll aggregates. Because the outcome here is binary and concrete rather than opinion-based, direct comparison to polling data is limited; instead, traders assess geopolitical developments, diplomatic signals, and Trump's recent rhetoric to inform their positions.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling yes and no shares, with the current odds reflecting the collective assessment of all active participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of yes shares represents the market's implied probability that Trump will publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei before the deadline. As new information emerges—diplomatic statements, media coverage, or political developments—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to fluctuate. The continuous auction mechanism ensures that the market price incorporates the latest available information and trader sentiment in real time.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Trump has made a public statement explicitly praising Mojtaba Khamenei by that deadline. Public statements include speeches, social media posts, interviews, and official communications. Once the resolution date passes, the outcome is determined based on documented evidence of such praise, and traders holding the correct position receive their payout.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. Direct diplomatic engagement or high-level meetings between U.S. and Iranian officials might increase the likelihood of public praise. Conversely, escalating geopolitical tensions, sanctions announcements, or hostile rhetoric would reduce it. Media reports of Trump's private comments or strategic positioning on Iran policy could also influence trader expectations. Breaking news about Mojtaba Khamenei's role in Iranian politics, statements from Trump's advisors, or unexpected political developments would prompt rapid repricing. Traders monitor news cycles closely, adjusting positions as new information becomes available.