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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (July 27 - August 1)
polymarket

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM?

Volume:
$6,102

August 1

 - Polymarket

August 1 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

August 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

July 28

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

July 29

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

July 31

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

July 30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
95¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

July 27

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Polymarket

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the short_topic shows real-time odds and price history, updated continuously as trading activity unfolds. The dashboard also displays 24-hour volume of $990, allowing users to monitor liquidity and recent interest in this prediction. This focused view helps traders gauge market sentiment without needing to check multiple venues.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A 'full lid' declaration by the White House before the specified deadline will settle the market accordingly, while absence of such an announcement leads to the alternative result. The process relies on publicly observable actions from the administration.

News about the president's daily schedule, unexpected travel plans, or press office announcements could shift this market. Statements from administration officials about media access or briefings may also influence odds. Additionally, geopolitical developments or domestic events that affect presidential movements might cause rapid price changes as traders reassess the likelihood of a full lid being called.