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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 24 - August 29)
polymarket

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 24 - August 29)

Volume:
$5,726

August 28

 - Polymarket

August 28 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 3:50 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

August 28

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 24

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 25

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 26

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 29

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

August 27

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Polymarket

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the White House full lid market, alongside 24-hour volume of $125. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of a full lid being called by the specified deadline, updated continuously throughout the trading period.

Currently, this market reflects a much higher probability than typical polling averages suggest. While surveys may show mixed expectations, traders are pricing in a strong chance of a full lid being declared, indicated by the leading outcome’s probability. This divergence often occurs because market participants incorporate additional data, such as scheduled events or administrative patterns, that polls do not capture.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A full lid call by the exact time specified will settle the market one way, while any delay or alternative scheduling will determine the opposite result, based on authoritative news sources.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Official announcements from the White House press office, unexpected schedule changes, major news events in Washington, or statements from administration officials may all impact trader sentiment. Any hint of a planned pause in briefings or emergency sessions could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the odds.