TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?
polymarket

Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?

Volume:
$3,935

August 13

 - Polymarket

August 13 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

August 13

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$1,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 12

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

August 15

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Wisconsin Governor concession market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,051. This single-venue view shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood that the losing candidate in the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary will concede by a specific date. The data updates continuously, reflecting market sentiment and any new information that influences expectations for the outcome.

Currently, this market implies a very high probability that the loser will concede on time, reflected in the odds. That level of certainty often exceeds typical polling averages, which can show more variability due to sampling limits and timing. Prediction markets can react faster to developing news and shifting dynamics, sometimes incorporating information before polls fully capture it. As the primary approaches, any significant change in polling averages could also shift this market if it alters expectations about candidate behavior or public pressure.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through buying and selling contracts that pay out if the specified condition occurs. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all participants about the likelihood of a timely concession. Volume of $3,814 shows the level of interest and liquidity, while the price movement offers a real-time barometer of market sentiment. Any new developments in the campaign or statements from candidates can quickly change these prices.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The key factor is whether the losing candidate in the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary publicly concedes defeat by the specified deadline. If that occurs, contracts settle one way; if not, they settle the other way. The process relies on publicly available information, ensuring an objective determination once the primary concludes.