TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 3:15 AM EST
Limitless
This market resolves "YES" if the “Open” of the TA35 Index 1-day candle on TradingView (TASE:TA35, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TASE%3ATA35) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title on May 29, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to the precision published by TASE (two decimal places). If TASE is closed on May 29, 2026, the resolution moves to the “Open” of the next regular TASE trading session.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time aggregated trader expectations and differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically published quarterly or after major economic announcements. While equity analysts may issue price targets for TA-35 based on earnings models and macroeconomic outlooks, prediction markets incorporate continuous market sentiment and breaking news. The Limitless market for this event allows traders to price in geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and regional economic data that may not be fully reflected in published analyst consensus, offering a dynamic alternative view of where TA-35 may open on May 29, 2026.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, when the TA-35 index opens for trading on May 29, 2026. The outcome is determined by comparing the official opening price of TA-35 on that date against the specified threshold embedded in the event. Once the opening price is published by the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, the prediction market settles automatically based on whether the index opened above or below the threshold, with winning traders receiving their payout and losing positions expiring worthless.
Key catalysts include Israeli monetary policy decisions and inflation data from the Bank of Israel, geopolitical developments affecting regional stability and investor risk appetite, global equity market trends and U.S. Federal Reserve policy, oil price movements impacting Middle Eastern markets, and corporate earnings announcements from major TA-35 constituents. Macroeconomic releases such as Israeli GDP, unemployment, and trade data will influence trader expectations. Currency movements in the shekel relative to the dollar, credit rating changes, and shifts in international capital flows to emerging markets can also significantly impact the probability that TA-35 opens above the threshold on May 29, 2026.