TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 7:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market resolves "YES" if the “Close” of the TA35 Index 1-day candle on TradingView (TASE:TA35, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TASE%3ATA35) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title on June 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to the precision published by TASE (two decimal places). If TASE is closed on June 12, the resolution moves to the “Close” of the prior regular trading session.
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect crowdsourced expectations from traders betting real money, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on research teams and econometric models. Analyst consensus on TA-35 performance typically focuses on macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical factors, and corporate earnings. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than published analyst reports, making direct comparison useful for identifying where professional opinion and market pricing diverge on this specific June 2026 close level.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this TA-35 outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that the index closes above the specified threshold on June 12, 2026. The platform converts order flow and trader positions into an implied probability displayed as a percentage. As traders buy or sell shares of the yes or no outcome, the price adjusts in real time. Volume and liquidity on Limitless determine how quickly prices respond to new information about Israeli economic data, central bank decisions, or regional developments affecting the TA-35.
The market resolves after the TA-35 index closes on June 12, 2026, with the resolution deadline set for Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official closing price of the TA-35 on that date. If the index closes at or above the specified level, the yes outcome resolves to 100 percent; if it closes below, the no outcome resolves to 100 percent. Resolution relies on verified market data from the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange.
Key catalysts for TA-35 movement include Israeli monetary policy decisions by the Bank of Israel, inflation and employment data, geopolitical developments in the Middle East, corporate earnings announcements, and global risk sentiment. U.S. Federal Reserve policy and international interest rates also influence Israeli equities. Energy prices, shekel exchange rates, and tech sector performance—given the TA-35's heavy weighting toward technology—are critical drivers. Traders on Limitless will reprice this outcome as each data release or headline emerges, reflecting updated expectations for the index's June 12 close.