TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will TA-35 close above __ on July 3, 2026?
limitless

Will TA-35 close above __ on July 3, 2026?

Volume:
$654

4,100.00

 - Limitless

4,100.00 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 7:00 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

4,100.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-90¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

3,900.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-95¢
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market resolves "YES" if the “Close” of the TA35 Index 1-day candle on TradingView (TASE:TA35, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TASE%3ATA35) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title on July 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to the precision published by TASE (two decimal places). If TASE is closed on July 3, the resolution moves to the “Close” of the prior regular trading session.

Limitless

This market resolves "YES" if the “Close” of the TA35 Index 1-day candle on TradingView (TASE:TA35, https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TASE%3ATA35) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title on July 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves "NO". All values are read to the precision published by TASE (two decimal places). If TASE is closed on July 3, the resolution moves to the “Close” of the prior regular trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-time information and carry financial incentives for accuracy. While equity analysts publish periodic price targets and earnings estimates, this market continuously updates as traders respond to macroeconomic data, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments affecting the Israeli economy. Comparing the current odds to consensus analyst views can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish sentiment than the professional consensus, offering insight into where informed traders see asymmetric value.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" and "no" outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. This continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates throughout the trading period.

This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the closing price of the TA-35 index for that date is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is binary: if the index closes above the specified threshold, the "yes" outcome wins; otherwise, "no" prevails. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market close, after official data is published and confirmed by market data providers.

Key catalysts include Israeli economic data releases such as employment figures, inflation reports, and industrial production; decisions by the Bank of Israel on monetary policy; geopolitical developments affecting regional stability and investor sentiment; and global market movements, particularly in U.S. equity indices and commodity prices. Corporate earnings announcements from major TA-35 constituents, changes in foreign investment flows, and shifts in risk appetite can also drive significant price swings. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions ahead of resolution.