TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 3:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “YES” if the Close of the SSE Composite Index daily candle for the regular trading session of June 12, 2026 on TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=SSE%3A000001) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market resolves “NO”. For the purposes of resolution, all values will be rounded to two decimal places using standard rounding rules. If TradingView is unavailable, resolution defers to the official SSE Composite Index closing value for the regular trading session of June 12, 2026 as published by the Shanghai Stock Exchange (https://english.sse.com.cn). If the SSE is closed on June 12, 2026, resolution moves to the daily candle for the last trading day prior to June 12, 2026. Note: TradingView data may be delayed without a real-time subscription.
This market will resolve to “YES” if the Close of the SSE Composite Index daily candle for the regular trading session of June 12, 2026 on TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=SSE%3A000001) is strictly greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market resolves “NO”. For the purposes of resolution, all values will be rounded to two decimal places using standard rounding rules. If TradingView is unavailable, resolution defers to the official SSE Composite Index closing value for the regular trading session of June 12, 2026 as published by the Shanghai Stock Exchange (https://english.sse.com.cn). If the SSE is closed on June 12, 2026, resolution moves to the daily candle for the last trading day prior to June 12, 2026. Note: TradingView data may be delayed without a real-time subscription.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares corresponding to "yes" (index closes above the threshold) or "no" (index closes at or below). The share price directly reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. Traders profit by correctly predicting the June 12, 2026 close relative to the specified level. Liquidity and order-book depth on Limitless determine how easily participants can enter or exit positions, and spreads between bid and ask prices reflect underlying uncertainty about Chinese equity market direction.
This market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, immediately after the SSE Composite Index close on June 12, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official closing price of the index as reported by the Shanghai Stock Exchange. If the index closes above the specified threshold, the "yes" outcome wins; if it closes at or below that level, the "no" outcome wins. Resolution occurs automatically once the official settlement price is confirmed and verified through the platform's data feeds.
Key catalysts include Chinese monetary policy decisions, inflation and employment data, corporate earnings announcements, and geopolitical developments affecting trade or capital flows. Interest rate changes by the People's Bank of China, stimulus measures, and regulatory actions on tech or financial sectors can significantly shift equity valuations. Global risk sentiment, US-China relations, and commodity prices also influence the SSE Composite. Economic growth forecasts, property sector developments, and currency movements relative to the yuan may drive index performance heading into the June 12, 2026 close, causing prediction market odds to adjust as new information emerges.