TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 12:52 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if silver’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between January 27th, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if silver’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for the price of silver will be COMEX trading data for the Silver Continuous Contract (SIW00), specifically the price per troy ounce during regular trading hours, which can be viewed here: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SIW00:COMEX.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if silver’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between January 27th, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if silver’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for the price of silver will be COMEX trading data for the Silver Continuous Contract (SIW00), specifically the price per troy ounce during regular trading hours, which can be viewed here: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SIW00:COMEX.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about which price level silver will hit first, incorporating current spot prices, technical analysis, and macroeconomic outlook. Unlike spot prices, which measure silver's value at a single moment, prediction odds embed forward-looking probability. Comparing market odds to analyst forecasts and consensus price targets reveals whether traders expect silver to move more aggressively toward $60 or $150 by July, and whether the market is pricing in volatility that spot prices alone do not capture.
The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by which price level—$60 or $150—silver reaches first at any point before that deadline. The outcome is settled based on verified spot price data from recognized market sources, ensuring clarity and finality. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while the losing side forfeits their stake. This binary structure makes the event straightforward to track and settle.
Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, and USD strength—all of which historically drive precious metals prices. Geopolitical tensions, industrial demand cycles, and mining supply disruptions can also influence silver's trajectory. Technical breakouts above or below key resistance levels may accelerate movement toward either $60 or $150. Additionally, shifts in risk sentiment and equity market volatility often correlate with silver price swings. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions and refine their probability estimates.