TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

Volume:
$5,014,945

February 28

 - Polymarket

February 28 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

February 28

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$936,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 31

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$498,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

December 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,474,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

November 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,256,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

November 14

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

November 21

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

January 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

January 15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

September 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shade light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rih" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the Pokrovsk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ixAs4fF8n8ccVeL17 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.