TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by July 31?
polymarket

Will Revolut's valuation hit the target by July 31, 2026?

Volume:
$78,660

↑$100B

 - Polymarket

↑$100B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 3:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑$100B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑$87.5B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑$95B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑$90B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑$110B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓$77.5B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓$82.5B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓$65B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓$70B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$125B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Revolut's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Revolut's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company’s primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company’s total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Revolut valuation market dashboard displays real-time odds and price history for whether the fintech company's valuation will reach a specific threshold by the deadline. The interface shows current trader sentiment, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume data, allowing you to monitor how market participants are pricing this outcome. This dashboard gives you a live window into how the prediction market is valuing Revolut's growth trajectory and investor confidence in the company hitting that valuation milestone within the specified timeframe.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from traders with direct financial incentives to be accurate. While equity analysts publish target valuations and growth estimates based on financial models and industry research, this market reflects live consensus from participants who profit or lose based on the actual outcome. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than Wall Street consensus, and can highlight where expert opinion and market-based forecasting disagree on Revolut's near-term valuation prospects.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes, with the current price reflecting the probability the market assigns to Revolut hitting the valuation target. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see is determined by continuous order-book matching: as more traders bet on one outcome, the price adjusts upward or downward. This mechanism ensures that the odds you observe represent genuine market consensus at that moment, with every trade updating the probability in real time.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on whether Revolut's valuation has reached the specified level. The determination is verified against credible public sources, including company announcements, funding round documentation, and reputable financial reporting. Once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, the market settles and traders receive payouts according to the final outcome.

Major catalysts for this market include Revolut's funding announcements, quarterly financial performance disclosures, and shifts in fintech valuations across the sector. Regulatory developments affecting the company's licensing or expansion plans can also swing trader sentiment significantly. Broader market conditions—such as changes in venture capital appetite, interest rates, or investor risk appetite—may influence how traders price Revolut's growth prospects. Competitive moves by rivals or strategic partnerships could reshape expectations around the company's path to the valuation threshold.