TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?
polymarket

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Volume:
$44,467

↓$17B

 - Polymarket

↓$17B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓$17B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓$18B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓$17.5B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓$16.5B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑$25B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$21B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$19B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$22.5B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$20B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$19.5B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑$30B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Perplexity's private valuation will reach $19 billion or higher by the end of June 2026. On Polymarket, the probability of this outcome stands at 94.0%. Resolution will be determined by Nasdaq Private Market valuations published through June 30, 2026, with NPM prices updated daily at 1:00 PM ET on trading days. Watch for any IPO or direct listing announcement, which would shift resolution methodology to official exchange trading data and public market capitalization.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perplexity's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Perplexity valuation event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that Perplexity will reach the specified valuation threshold by Jul 1, 2026, along with 24-hour volume of $6,222 and total group volume of $44,467. The interface shows price history, order flow, and market depth, enabling traders to monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity conditions as new information about Perplexity's funding rounds and business performance emerges.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information about Perplexity's growth trajectory and funding prospects. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, typically rely on published research reports and valuation models from venture capital firms and equity analysts. Markets often diverge from analyst consensus when new funding announcements, competitive developments, or macroeconomic shifts occur. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimism or skepticism than traditional research suggests about Perplexity reaching its valuation target.

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by whether Perplexity's valuation has reached the specified threshold. Resolution depends on verifiable evidence of the company's valuation at that time, typically derived from funding announcements, secondary market transactions, or official company statements. Traders should monitor Perplexity's funding milestones, investor disclosures, and market reports leading up to the deadline to assess the likelihood of resolution in their favor.

Key catalysts include new funding rounds or Series announcements that explicitly state Perplexity's post-money valuation, major product launches or user growth milestones, partnerships with enterprise clients, changes in AI market competition, and macroeconomic shifts affecting venture funding appetite. Earnings or usage data from competitors like OpenAI or Google may also influence trader expectations about Perplexity's relative market position and valuation trajectory. Regulatory developments affecting AI companies and shifts in investor sentiment toward AI startups could accelerate or dampen probability movements.