TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
Will Patek prices hit __ by April 30?
polymarket

Will Patek prices hit __ by April 30?

Volume:
$83,802

↑ $107,000

 - Polymarket

↑ $107,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $107,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$13,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $106,500

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.4¢
N/A
$8,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $103,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $104,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $106,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $105,000

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $112,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $109,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $108,000

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.