TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than single-firm research. Traders in this market are betting directly on PLTR's closing price, which can incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than consensus estimates update. Analyst forecasts tend to be more conservative and slower to adjust, while prediction markets reward accuracy immediately. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst sentiment on Palantir can reveal where the crowd sees opportunity or risk that Wall Street may have underweighted.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants—each trade moves the probability up or down depending on whether traders are backing a yes or no outcome. Liquidity and order flow directly influence how quickly prices shift, so periods of heavy trading can create sharper moves. Your entry and exit prices depend on the depth of the order book at that moment.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the trading week concludes and Palantir's closing price is finalized. The outcome is confirmed against credible public financial data to verify whether PLTR finished above the specified threshold. Resolution is automatic once the price is verifiable from standard market sources, and payouts are distributed to winning positions. Traders should monitor PLTR's performance in the days leading up to the close to assess their positions.
Palantir's stock price can react to earnings announcements, government contract wins or losses, broader tech sector momentum, and macroeconomic shifts in interest rates or growth expectations. Insider trading activity, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and changes in short interest can also trigger sharp moves. Geopolitical developments affecting defense spending may influence PLTR given the company's government customer base. Real-time news flow and options expiration dates near the resolution window often create volatility, so traders should stay alert to breaking developments in the final days.