TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in September 2026?
↑ $248
- Polymarket
↑ $248 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
Latest in Companies
Time left: 01d:10h:09m
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?
$
Description
This group forecasts whether Amazon's stock price will reach specific high or low values during the month of September 2026. The markets are based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth, with resolution triggered if a price is hit during regular trading hours.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both Polymarket and Opinion utilize the same resolution criteria: a 1-minute candle 'High' or 'Low' reaching or exceeding the target price during regular trading hours in September 2026, sourced from Pyth.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSDCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by whether any 1-minute candle for AMZN during September 2026 has a final 'High' or 'Low' price equal to or beyond the listed price.
- Prices are sourced directly from Pyth, without rounding, and adjusted for any stock splits.
- Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) are considered.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Pyth Data Outage: If Pyth data is unavailable, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange will be used.
- Stock Splits: The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits or reverse stock splits.
Polymarket
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in September 2026?
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Amazon stock price market can differ between Polymarket and Opinion due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Opinion, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms address the same underlying question about the Amazon stock price in September 2026.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome determined by verifying Amazon’s closing stock price in September 2026 against credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from established financial data providers and will be publicly available. The outcome will reflect whether Amazon’s stock price met or exceeded the price point defined within the market’s parameters. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the verified result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major economic indicators, such as inflation rates and GDP growth, can influence investor sentiment towards Amazon. Company-specific news, including quarterly earnings reports, new product launches, and changes in leadership, will also be key drivers. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the regulatory landscape could introduce volatility. Furthermore, broader market trends, like changes in interest rates or investor risk appetite, can indirectly affect Amazon’s stock price and, consequently, the trading activity within this market.
