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Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
limitless

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$11

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Limitless

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? - Limitless

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Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 5:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

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Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
98¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Oracle is estimated to release earnings on September 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Oracle’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oracle reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Oracle releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Limitless

As of market creation, Oracle is estimated to release earnings on September 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Oracle’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oracle reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Oracle releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Oracle’s earnings. While analysts often provide point estimates, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders, resulting in a probability distribution of potential outcomes. This provides a more nuanced view than a single forecast. If a significant difference emerges between the market’s implied probability and analyst consensus, it could indicate the crowd believes information not yet reflected in standard financial models. This difference can be a valuable signal for investors.

On Limitless, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Oracle will beat quarterly earnings. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price converges towards a value that represents the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Oracle’s reported earnings per share (EPS) exceed the consensus estimate of financial analysts at the time of the earnings release. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the market correctly predicted the outcome, providing a clear measure of its accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the result will profit, while those who predicted incorrectly will incur a loss.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news related to Oracle’s business performance, such as pre-earnings announcements, changes in guidance, or major contract wins or losses, would likely impact trading activity. Broader economic data releases, particularly those related to the technology sector, could also influence sentiment. Unexpected news about key competitors or changes in overall market conditions could also cause shifts in the odds. Finally, analyst upgrades or downgrades can sometimes trigger price movements in this market.