TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) will close above $1.50 on the final trading day of the week ending May 25, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome carries a probability of 99.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official closing price sourced from Yahoo Finance history data. Watch for the final trading session of that week, as the closing price on the last day of trading will determine the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction, which often diverges from traditional analyst price targets and consensus estimates. While Wall Street analysts may publish quarterly earnings forecasts or 12-month price targets, prediction markets price the specific outcome of Opendoor closing above a defined level in a single week. Traders on Polymarket incorporate earnings reports, macroeconomic data, real estate trends, and company-specific news into their bids. Comparing market-implied probability to analyst sentiment can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than the consensus view on near-term stock performance.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the close of trading on the final day of the week ending May 25, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Opendoor's closing stock price on that date finishes above or below the specified price threshold. The outcome is objective and based on verified market data from official financial sources. Once the market resolves, traders who held winning shares receive their payout, and losing shares expire worthless. The binary structure ensures a clear, unambiguous settlement tied to a single observable market fact.
Key catalysts include Opendoor's quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, and management commentary on real estate market conditions. Broader housing data—mortgage rates, home sales, inventory levels, and consumer confidence—can shift sentiment around residential real estate stocks. Macroeconomic events such as Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation reports, and recession signals also influence the sector. Company-specific news like executive changes, strategic partnerships, or operational updates may move the stock. Short-term technical factors, options expiration, and sector rotation flows can create volatility in the final week. Traders monitor all these signals to adjust their positions ahead of the May 25 close.