TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts approach stock price prediction differently. While equity analysts typically issue price targets based on fundamental research and earnings models, this market aggregates real-time trader beliefs into a single probability. Prediction market odds can diverge from consensus analyst views when new information emerges or when traders perceive mispricing. Comparing the current odds to published analyst price targets for Opendoor offers insight into whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish sentiment than the research community.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes, with the share price directly reflecting the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders purchase yes shares, the price rises, signaling increased confidence that OPEN will finish above the target. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market price at any moment represents the collective assessment of all active traders, and liquidity determines how easily positions can be entered or exited near resolution.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Opendoor's stock price closes above the specified level during the designated week. Traders should monitor official stock data and market announcements leading up to that date to assess the likelihood of the outcome. Early resolution is possible if the threshold is clearly breached or ruled out before the formal end date.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jun 19, 2026. Earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or management commentary on Opendoor's business trajectory often trigger sharp repricing. Broader real estate market trends, mortgage rate movements, and macroeconomic data releases can also influence homebuying platforms. Competitive developments, regulatory news, or insider transactions may sway trader sentiment. Additionally, technical support and resistance levels on the stock chart itself can act as psychological anchors, prompting position adjustments as OPEN approaches key price levels.