TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction about OPEN's price action, which often diverges from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street analysts may publish consensus estimates for OPEN's valuation, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment from active traders who face direct financial consequences. The Polymarket odds represent a decentralized forecast aggregating diverse views on whether OPEN will finish above the threshold by Jun 5, 2026. Comparing these market-implied probabilities to published analyst reports can reveal whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than the consensus, highlighting potential gaps between institutional guidance and trader expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, marking the end of the trading week for June 1, 2026. Resolution hinges on OPEN's official closing price at market close on the final day of that week. The outcome is binary: either OPEN finishes above the specified price threshold, or it does not. Official price data from regulated financial sources determines the settlement. Traders should monitor OPEN's price action throughout the week and be aware of any corporate announcements, earnings releases, or market events that could influence the final closing price and trigger resolution.
Several catalysts could shift OPEN's price before the market resolves. Quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or updates on Opendoor's real estate transaction volumes and margins directly impact investor sentiment. Broader real estate market trends, mortgage rate changes, and housing inventory data influence the sector. Macroeconomic indicators such as inflation reports or Federal Reserve policy decisions affect equity valuations. Competitive developments or strategic partnerships involving Opendoor could trigger sharp moves. Additionally, insider transactions, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and shifts in institutional positioning may accelerate price momentum. Traders should monitor financial news, SEC filings, and market commentary closely as the resolution date approaches.