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Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?
polymarket

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$1,701

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 6:11 PM EST

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Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, ON Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on August 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ON Semiconductor’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ON Semiconductor reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ON Semiconductor releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, ON Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on August 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ON Semiconductor’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ON Semiconductor reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ON Semiconductor releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects strong optimism, with implied odds far above the historical average for earnings beats. Many analysts expect ON to meet or slightly exceed estimates due to strong demand in its key sectors, but the prediction market is pricing in an even higher probability of a beat than most public forecasts suggest.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that pay out if ON beats expectations. The current top outcome shows a very high implied probability, driven by recent momentum in the stock and sector-wide optimism. Volume of $1,701 supports the liquidity for this positioning.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the earnings results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the official quarterly figures released by ON Semiconductor, compared against consensus analyst estimates for that period.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 3, 2026. Earnings pre-announcements, analyst upgrades or downgrades, broader semiconductor industry news, supply chain updates, and major economic data releases may all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected revenue or margin guidance from ON Semiconductor, competitive product launches, or regulatory developments could also cause rapid moves. Watch for any comments from management during conferences or interviews, as well as sector-wide trends affecting chip demand.