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Science and Technology
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above___?
polymarket
limitless

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above___?

Volume:
$13,448

$205

 - Polymarket

$205 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$205

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$205

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
98.9¢
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$220

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$245

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$220

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$225

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$235

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$230

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$225

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

This event group tracks whether NVIDIA (NVDA) stock will close above various price thresholds during the week ending June 8, 2026. Markets span both single-day (June 5) and week-end (June 8/12) resolution dates across Polymarket and Limitless platforms, using different data sources and comparison methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Limitless employ fundamentally different resolution methodologies: Polymarket uses absolute price thresholds against Yahoo Finance closes, while Limitless uses a relative week-over-week comparison against Pyth price feed. Additionally, the reference dates differ (Polymarket: final trading day of week of June 8, typically June 8; Limitless: explicitly June 12, 2026).Hero tip: Treat these as separate market types. Polymarket's 21 threshold markets are independent binary outcomes suitable for hedging specific price levels. Limitless's single Up/Down market is a directional bet on whether NVDA appreciates from the $205.51077 June 5 baseline to June 12. Cross-platform arbitrage is not viable due to structural differences in comparison logic and data sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Absolute threshold resolution. Markets resolve YES if NVDA close on June 5 (for single-day markets) or final trading day of week of June 8 (for weekly markets) exceeds the stated strike price. Uses Yahoo Finance historical close prices as authoritative source. Handles corporate actions (splits) via Yahoo Finance split-adjusted prices. Fallback to last valid on-exchange trade if no official close published.
  • Limitless: Relative directional resolution. Single market compares June 12, 2026 Pyth NVDA/USD close against June 5, 2026 baseline of $205.51077. Resolves UP if June 12 close is strictly higher, DOWN otherwise. Uses Pyth price feed as primary source; falls back to primary exchange official close if Pyth data unavailable. Handles corporate actions via Pyth split-adjusted prices.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $205.51077. Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds for this NVIDIA closing-price event across Polymarket and Limitless, two leading prediction markets. It displays the consensus probability that NVDA will close above the specified price level on June 5, alongside trading volume and historical price movements. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you see how the market's collective forecast evolves as new information emerges. This cross-platform view reveals whether traders across different venues agree on the outcome or diverge in their expectations, helping you identify consensus strength and spot arbitrage opportunities.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from thousands of traders betting on NVDA's June 5 close, whereas analyst forecasts are typically point estimates or ranges from equity research teams. Markets often price in broader information sets and tail risks faster than traditional analyst reports update. The prediction market for this event shows dynamic, continuously updated probabilities rather than static price targets. Comparing the two reveals whether Wall Street consensus aligns with decentralized trader sentiment, and which view may be underpricing volatility or specific catalysts around NVIDIA's near-term performance.

Polymarket and Limitless may show different implied probabilities due to variations in liquidity, user base composition, and order-flow timing. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances, time horizons, and information access, leading to temporary price discrepancies. Lower-volume venues may exhibit wider bid-ask spreads and slower price discovery. Arbitrageurs typically exploit these gaps, but transaction costs and platform friction can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which market is pricing the NVDA event more efficiently and where informed traders are concentrating their positions.

Key catalysts include NVIDIA earnings reports, AI industry developments, semiconductor supply-chain news, and macroeconomic data affecting tech valuations. Geopolitical tensions or regulatory announcements regarding chip exports could shift sentiment sharply. Competitor product launches or data-center demand signals may also influence NVDA's trajectory. Broader market volatility, Fed policy shifts, and sector rotation between growth and value stocks will impact the stock's path to June 5. Real-time monitoring of earnings guidance, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and institutional positioning helps traders adjust their market odds as new information surfaces.