TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA

Science and Technology

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 5?

polymarket

limitless

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 5?

Volume:

$16,199

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 5?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 5?

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$11,543

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

Yes

limitless

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down - Weekly

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

98.9¢

N/A

$651

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$40

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$671

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$30

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$321

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$70

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$279

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$20

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$220

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$50

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$118

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$80

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$84

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$60

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

0.1¢

N/A

$53

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$130

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$1,078

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$140

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$387

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$100

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$303

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$120

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$231

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$110

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$230

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

polymarket

$90

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$32

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks whether Netflix (NFLX) stock will close above various price thresholds ($20–$140) on the final trading day of the week of June 8, 2026 (Friday, June 12). A secondary market on Limitless compares the weekly close (June 12) to the prior week's close (June 5) to determine directional movement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket price-level markets (e.g., 'above $50') use Yahoo Finance as the settlement source, while Limitless uses Pyth NFLX/USD for the weekly directional comparison. These two data sources may diverge on the exact closing price for June 12, 2026, leading to inconsistent outcomes across platforms.Hero tip: Monitor both Yahoo Finance and Pyth closing prices for June 12, 2026. If they differ by more than 0.5%, flag the discrepancy immediately. For Polymarket, the official resolution will follow Yahoo Finance; for Limitless, Pyth is authoritative. Traders holding positions on both platforms should hedge or reconcile exposure before the close.

Critical divergence points:

Polymarket: Price-level markets resolve based on whether NFLX closes above specified thresholds ($20–$140) on Friday, June 12, 2026. Resolution source is Yahoo Finance Historical Prices. Fallback: if no official close is published (halt, delisting, system issue), uses last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session.
Limitless: Directional weekly market resolves 'Up' if Pyth NFLX/USD close on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than June 5, 2026 close ($82.18850). Resolution source is Pyth NFLX/USD price feed exclusively. Fallback: if Pyth fails, uses official primary exchange closing price.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $82.18850. Resolution source: Pyth NFLX/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Netflix (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which NFLX is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NFLX during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and are often more dynamic than traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street analysts publish quarterly earnings estimates and long-term ratings, prediction markets distill near-term directional sentiment into live probabilities. For Netflix on June 5, market odds capture intraday momentum, earnings surprises, content announcements, and subscriber data—events that may shift faster than analyst revisions. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than consensus. Prediction markets reward accuracy immediately, whereas analyst forecasts update less frequently, making markets a useful real-time gauge of short-term Netflix sentiment.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in liquidity, user base, fee structures, and market depth can create price gaps. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or risk appetites than Limitless, leading to divergent probability estimates for the same outcome. Timing lags in order-book updates, regional trading hours, and platform-specific incentives also contribute. Lower-volume venues sometimes show wider bid-ask spreads or stale pricing. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms are limited by withdrawal delays and trading costs, so small discrepancies can persist. Monitoring both Polymarket and Limitless helps you identify which platform's odds are more reliable and where smart money is concentrating its bets on Netflix's June 5 direction.

Several catalysts could shift Netflix sentiment before June 5. Earnings announcements, subscriber growth reports, or guidance revisions directly impact stock direction. Content releases or cancellations, competitive moves from rivals, and macroeconomic data (inflation, interest rates) influence streaming stocks broadly. Management commentary on pricing, password sharing, or ad-tier adoption can spark volatility. Broader market selloffs or rallies in tech stocks may drag NFLX along. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, activist investor activity, or regulatory news also matter. Social media trends and user sentiment can amplify moves. Traders monitor these signals closely, repricing odds as new information emerges, so staying informed on Netflix developments helps predict market direction.