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$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 29 above___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish above a certain price by July 3, 2026?

Volume:
$6,771

$30

 - Polymarket

$30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down - Weekly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.9¢
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group tracks whether Netflix (NFLX) stock will close above various price thresholds during the week ending June 29, 2026 (final trading day: Friday, July 2, 2026). The group contains 15 related markets across two platforms, each asking if the closing price will exceed a specific dollar amount.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two platforms use different primary data sources (Pyth oracle vs. Yahoo Finance) with distinct fallback hierarchies. While both resolve on the same date (July 2, 2026) and use split-adjusted prices, data integrity failures or market disruptions could cause divergent resolutions.Hero tip: Both markets resolve on July 2, 2026 closing price and apply identical price thresholds ($10–$130). The risk is not threshold mismatch but source reliability: Pyth may report a different close than Yahoo Finance if either experiences a data outage or if the fallback logic is triggered. Verify both feeds are operational and aligned before the market closes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Uses Pyth NFLX/USD 1-minute candle at market close on July 2, 2026. If Pyth data unavailable, uses last valid Pyth price that day. If no Pyth data exists due to outage, falls back to primary exchange official close. Resolves to Down if NFLX does not trade on July 2. Compares against June 25, 2026 baseline ($70.90).
  • Polymarket: Uses Yahoo Finance official closing price on July 2, 2026. If no official close published (halt, delisting, system issue), uses last valid on-exchange trade price. Applies split-adjusted prices from Yahoo Finance. No baseline comparison; resolves Yes/No against stated threshold only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) on July 2, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) on June 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Netflix (Pyth NFLX/USD) captured on June 25, 2026, was $70.90000. Resolution source: Pyth NFLX/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Netflix (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 2, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which NFLX is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NFLX during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like this one distill real-money trader conviction into live odds, often reflecting faster-moving sentiment than traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street forecasts may lag earnings surprises or macro shifts, this market reprices continuously as new information emerges. Traders betting their capital tend to incorporate forward-looking catalysts—earnings guidance, subscriber trends, or competitive pressures—more dynamically than consensus estimates, making market odds a complementary signal to published research.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Limitless may emphasize directional flow (up or down), while Polymarket's binary format locks in a specific price level, leading each to weight tail risks differently. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but differences can persist if one venue has deeper liquidity or if traders on each platform hold divergent views on Netflix's exact closing price versus its general direction.

Earnings announcements, subscriber growth reports, or guidance revisions would likely shift trader positioning significantly. Broader market moves—Fed policy shifts, tech sector rotation, or streaming competition news—can also swing Netflix sentiment. Insider transactions, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and macroeconomic data affecting consumer spending may trigger repricing. Real-time volume and volatility spikes often precede major moves, making this market sensitive to both company-specific catalysts and sector-wide momentum.