TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “YES” if the Natgas-USDC price is strictly greater than 3.2827 on June 12, 2026, at 14:00 UTC, according to the hourly open price candle on https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO”. For the purposes of resolution, all prices will be rounded to four decimal places using standard rounding rules. If, for any reason, the required hourly open price at the specified time cannot be retrieved from the website, the market will resolve based on the closing price of the most recent prior hourly candle available on the site. If the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the scheduled resolution time, the market will resolve to “NO”, regardless of the reason.
This market will resolve to “YES” if the Natgas-USDC price is strictly greater than 3.2827 on June 12, 2026, at 14:00 UTC, according to the hourly open price candle on https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO”. For the purposes of resolution, all prices will be rounded to four decimal places using standard rounding rules. If, for any reason, the required hourly open price at the specified time cannot be retrieved from the website, the market will resolve based on the closing price of the most recent prior hourly candle available on the site. If the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the scheduled resolution time, the market will resolve to “NO”, regardless of the reason.
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect aggregated trader expectations and can be compared against published analyst forecasts and energy sector reports. While analysts often issue point estimates or ranges for natural gas prices, prediction markets distill real-money bets into a single probability. Divergences between market odds and analyst consensus may signal either market inefficiency or that traders are pricing in recent data or geopolitical factors analysts have not yet fully incorporated. Comparing the two sources provides a richer perspective on near-term Natgas-USDC direction.
On Limitless, this event is priced through continuous order-book trading where participants buy and sell shares representing the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders at the prevailing price. Traders who believe Natgas-USDC will exceed 3.2827 by June 12, 14:00 UTC bid up the price; those skeptical push it lower. The market price adjusts in real time as new trades execute, incorporating fresh data on supply, demand, weather, and macroeconomic conditions affecting natural gas valuations.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. At that moment, the Natgas-USDC price is checked against the 3.2827 threshold to determine whether the outcome occurs. All open positions settle based on whether the price is above or at-or-below that level at the specified time. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is binary and final once the price data is confirmed.
Natural gas prices are sensitive to weather forecasts, heating and cooling demand, production disruptions, storage levels, and global energy dynamics. Unexpected cold snaps or heat waves can spike demand; conversely, mild conditions suppress it. Supply shocks from production outages, LNG export changes, or geopolitical tensions affect pricing. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy, and broader commodity market trends also influence Natgas-USDC. Energy policy announcements or renewable energy developments may shift long-term expectations. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to adjust positions ahead of the June 12 resolution.