TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 10:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “YES” if the Natgas-USDC price is strictly greater than 3.1931 on June 5, 2026, at 14:00 UTC, according to the hourly open price candle on https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO”. For the purposes of resolution, all prices will be rounded to four decimal places using standard rounding rules. If, for any reason, the required hourly open price at the specified time cannot be retrieved from the website, the market will resolve based on the closing price of the most recent prior hourly candle available on the site. If the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the scheduled resolution time, the market will resolve to “NO”, regardless of the reason.
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many traders rather than relying on a single research team's model. Analysts may publish point estimates or ranges for natural gas prices based on supply, demand, weather, and storage data, while prediction markets reflect the collective conviction of participants willing to stake capital. If analysts expect Natgas-USDC to remain below 3.1931 but market odds show higher probability, this signals traders may be pricing in supply shocks or demand surges that analysts have underweighted. Comparing both sources helps you triangulate the true likelihood of this outcome.
On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of yes shares reflects the market's probability estimate that Natgas-USDC will exceed 3.1931 at the June 5 resolution time. Traders profit if their prediction is correct and lose if it is wrong. Liquidity and order flow on Limitless determine how tightly bid-ask spreads trade around the fair-value probability. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery for this specific energy commodity threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. At that moment, the Natgas-USDC price is checked against the threshold of 3.1931. The outcome is binary: if the pair is trading above 3.1931, yes shares pay out in full and no shares expire worthless, or vice versa if the price is at or below the threshold. Resolution is final once the price snapshot is recorded and verified by the platform's data source.
Natural gas prices are sensitive to weather forecasts, inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions, and seasonal demand shifts. A cold snap or production outage could push Natgas-USDC higher toward 3.1931, while mild weather or oversupply could depress it. Energy policy announcements, LNG export capacity changes, and broader macroeconomic conditions also influence the pair. Traders monitoring these catalysts adjust their positions as new information emerges, causing prediction market odds to shift. Tracking energy news, weather models, and USDC stability helps you anticipate how this threshold outcome may evolve before the June 5 resolution.