TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 10:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting mechanism where participants buy 'Yes' or 'No' contracts. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of these bets, with volume of $9,228 indicating trader interest. Prices adjust continuously based on new bets, news flow, and analyst commentary surrounding MicroStrategy’s potential actions.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A 'Yes' outcome requires MicroStrategy to announce any Bitcoin sale during the August 4-10 window, while 'No' is confirmed if no such announcement occurs by the deadline.
Key signals include MicroStrategy earnings calls, executive statements about treasury management, Bitcoin price volatility impacting corporate holdings, and media speculation from credible financial outlets. Any indication — even indirect — of strategic reviews around Bitcoin holdings could shift this market sharply as traders reassess the likelihood of an announcement within the specified period.