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Science and Technology
Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of June?
polymarket
limitless

Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of June?

Volume:
$9,942

$1,000

 - Polymarket

$1,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$880

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$960

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$980

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Micron (MU) Up or Down on May 29?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Micron Technology (MU) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
98.9¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$860

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$920

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1,040

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$840

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$940

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$820

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1,020

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
26¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks whether Micron Technology (MU) stock will close above various price thresholds ($800–$1,040) on the final trading day of June 2026. It also includes a weekly comparison market (May 29 vs. June 5, 2026) and a single intraday directional market (May 29, 2026). The group tests price-level predictions across a range of strike prices.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Source fragmentation across platforms (Yahoo Finance vs. Pyth) and structural misalignment of the May 29 intraday market with the end-of-June group theme. No logical contradiction, but data integrity depends on source synchronization.Hero tip: Segregate the May 29 intraday market from the end-of-June threshold markets in your UI or settlement workflow. Confirm Yahoo Finance and Pyth close prices for June 28, 2026 (likely final trading day) match within acceptable tolerance before final resolution. Monitor the Limitless baseline ($971.78398 on May 29) for accuracy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (End-of-June Thresholds): Resolves YES if MU close on final trading day of June 2026 exceeds threshold ($800–$1,040). Source: Yahoo Finance historical prices. Fallback: last valid on-exchange trade if no official close published. Handles splits via Yahoo Finance split-adjustment.
  • Polymarket (May 29 Intraday): Resolves UP if May 29, 2026 close > prior trading day close. Source: Pyth 1-minute candle. Resolves 50-50 if no trade or equal prices. Structurally incompatible with end-of-June group.
  • Limitless (Weekly Comparison): Resolves UP if June 5, 2026 Pyth close > May 29, 2026 Pyth close ($971.78398 baseline). Source: Pyth MU/USD feed only. Resolves DOWN if no trade on June 5. Uses fixed baseline snapshot.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on MU's May 29 close, whereas analyst forecasts typically focus on longer-term price targets and fundamental outlooks. Markets price in immediate catalysts—earnings surprises, semiconductor sector moves, or macro shifts—while analyst ratings often lag intraday volatility. The Polymarket and Limitless odds represent crowd-sourced probability estimates updated in real time, offering a dynamic alternative to static analyst consensus. Comparing the two reveals whether professional research aligns with or diverges from market-implied expectations.

Key catalysts include Micron earnings announcements, semiconductor industry data releases, memory chip demand signals, and geopolitical trade developments affecting chip supply chains. Broader market moves—Fed policy shifts, tech sector rotation, or macro risk sentiment—can drive MU alongside peers. Company guidance revisions, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and competitive announcements from rivals like Samsung or SK Hynix also influence single-day direction. Intraday volatility around market opens, options expiration, or index rebalancing can amplify May 29 price swings, making real-time news flow and technical levels critical to watch.