TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
No one
- Kalshi
No one - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Mandela Barnes will publicly support a specific candidate in the 2026 Wisconsin Governor race before August 11, 2026. A valid endorsement requires a clear, public declaration of support directly from Barnes or through official channels, referencing the race unambiguously.
Kalshi
The event determines if Mandela Barnes publicly endorses any candidate in the 2026 Wisconsin Governor race before August 11, 2026. An endorsement must be a clear, affirmative public statement of support for a candidate’s election, specifically referencing the 2026 Wisconsin Governor race, and must originate directly from Barnes or through official channels. Endorsements include explicit statements of support, public declarations of voting intent, appearances at campaign events for endorsement purposes, official releases through Barnes’s organization, or permission for use of Barnes’s name or image in campaign materials. Sarcastic or joking statements that are clarified as non-endorsements do not count. The contract resolves immediately upon the first qualifying endorsement. If Barnes endorses exactly one candidate, that candidate’s market resolves to Yes at $1.00, and all others resolve to No. If Barnes endorses multiple candidates, each endorsed candidate’s market resolves to Yes at a value of ($1.00 divided by the number of endorsed candidates), rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before the deadline, the "No one" market resolves to Yes at $1.00, and all candidate-specific markets resolve to No. If a candidate withdraws, suspends their campaign, or loses before an endorsement is confirmed, their market may resolve to No at the Exchange’s discretion.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market reflects a distinct outlook compared to many analyst forecasts. While some political analysts may lean toward a particular candidate or timeline, the trading odds capture a different set of expectations based on real-time betting activity. This divergence can highlight areas where public sentiment, insider information, or recent developments differ from traditional polling and expert predictions, offering a complementary view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A successful resolution will depend on clear, public evidence of an endorsement — such as a press conference, official statement, or widely reported news coverage — and will be evaluated against standard journalistic sources to ensure accuracy before the market settles.
Several signals could shift the odds in this market before resolution. Major developments — such as polling surges for a candidate, high-profile meetings between Mandela Barnes and potential endorsees, media speculation, or strategic statements from Barnes’s team — may cause rapid price changes. Additionally, broader political trends, national headlines affecting Wisconsin’s race, or emerging scandals involving candidates could also influence trader sentiment and drive volatility as the Aug 11, 2026 deadline approaches.
