TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether lululemon athletica will report quarterly earnings that exceed analyst consensus expectations. On Polymarket, the probability of a beat stands at 90.5%. Resolution will be determined by Seeking Alpha's reported earnings figures compared to The Street consensus estimate of $1.68 GAAP EPS. Watch for lululemon's earnings release scheduled for June 4, 2026, which will provide the actual results needed to settle this market.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether lululemon's reported earnings per share (or revenue, depending on the specific market terms) exceeds the consensus estimate set at market creation. Official earnings data released by the company or verified financial sources serve as the settlement reference. Once the earnings are published and confirmed, the market automatically resolves to YES or NO, and traders' positions are settled based on the outcome. Check the market details for the exact earnings metric and consensus figure used.
Key catalysts include LULU's pre-earnings guidance updates, comparable-store sales trends, and management commentary on consumer demand and inventory. Macro factors such as retail spending data, consumer confidence indices, and broader apparel sector performance can shift sentiment. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, changes to consensus estimates, and social media or insider commentary may also influence trader positioning. Competitor earnings and industry commentary on athletic wear demand could provide context. Any material news about supply chain, pricing power, or international expansion would likely move the market as traders reassess the likelihood of a beat.