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Will Lennar Q2 deliveries be above __?
polymarket

Will Lennar Q2 deliveries be above __?

Volume:
$1,621

17,500

 - Polymarket

17,500 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 11:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16¢
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
93¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

22,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Lennar will deliver more than 17,500 homes during its second fiscal quarter of 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome carries a 94.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by Lennar's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. Watch for Lennar's Q2 2026 earnings announcement, expected around mid-June 2026, which will provide the official delivery figures needed to settle this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lennar's deliveries for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Lennar's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Will Lennar Q2 deliveries be above __? market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by Lennar's official Q2 earnings report and delivery figures, which the company typically announces in late June. The outcome hinges on whether actual home deliveries for the second quarter meet or exceed the specified threshold. Once Lennar publishes its quarterly results, the market outcome is finalized based on the reported delivery count. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.

Several catalysts could shift the market price before Jun 15, 2026. Monthly housing starts and building permits data reveal construction momentum and demand trends affecting Lennar's output. Interest rate announcements and mortgage rate movements influence buyer demand and order cancellations. Lennar's pre-earnings guidance updates or management commentary on supply chain and labor availability can signal delivery expectations. Competitor earnings reports and industry housing data provide context for Lennar's relative performance. Macroeconomic reports on employment, consumer confidence, and inflation may alter sentiment around home purchases. Any production delays, labor shortages, or material constraints disclosed by the company could pressure the delivery forecast downward, moving market odds accordingly.