TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these interactions. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived probability, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether $LAPTOP has flipped $TRUMP according to publicly available data at the time of resolution. The specific criteria for determining a 'flip' will be assessed based on widely recognized and accepted metrics. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on verifiable information and not subjective interpretation.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news developments related to either $TRUMP or $LAPTOP, such as significant policy changes, legal rulings, or unexpected financial performance, could all influence trading activity. Public statements from key figures, shifts in media coverage, or even viral social media trends could also impact sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected technological breakthroughs or setbacks related to $LAPTOP’s underlying technology could also be a catalyst, as could any major political events that alter the broader landscape.