TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Lamb Weston is estimated to release earnings on July 24, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lamb Weston’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.63 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamb Weston reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.63 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Lamb Weston releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Lamb Weston is estimated to release earnings on July 24, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lamb Weston’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.63 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamb Weston reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.63 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Lamb Weston releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional Wall Street analyst consensus because traders incorporate real-time information, insider sentiment, and forward guidance that may not yet be reflected in published estimates. While analysts typically revise forecasts on a quarterly or event-driven basis, this market reprices continuously as new data emerges. Comparing the implied probability in this market to the consensus earnings estimate can reveal whether traders expect a beat, miss, or in-line result—and by how much the crowd's confidence exceeds or trails formal analyst views.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that sets odds based on the ratio of shares held for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing a beat or miss, and the platform's pricing algorithm adjusts the probability in real time as volume flows in. The current price reflects the marginal trader's view; larger positions or sudden order flow can shift odds significantly, making the market responsive to breaking news or earnings-related catalysts.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once Lamb Weston's quarterly earnings are announced and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing reported earnings per share or net income to the consensus estimate established before the announcement. A beat occurs when actual results exceed the threshold; a miss when they fall short. Resolution is final once the earnings figure is confirmed through official company filings or major financial news outlets.
Key catalysts include Lamb Weston's pre-earnings guidance updates, commodity price movements (particularly potato and energy costs), supply-chain disruptions, and management commentary on demand trends. Broader market shifts—such as changes in food-sector valuations or macroeconomic data affecting consumer spending—can also influence trader positioning. Competitor earnings reports and industry commentary may signal strength or weakness in the potato-products space. Any material news from the company or its peers could trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the probability of a beat before the official announcement.