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Will José María Balcázar be impeached?
kalshi

Will José María Balcázar be impeached?

Volume:
$1,688

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 11:59 PM EST

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Outcome
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7d
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Result
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Yes

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
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$1,688
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N/A
$1,688
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether José María Balcázar will face formal impeachment proceedings before July 29, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of impeachment stands at 7.0%. The market resolves based on whether Balcázar is formally impeached before the specified deadline, as determined by official records. Watch for any formal impeachment filing or procedural action before July 29, 2026, which would trigger resolution.

Kalshi

If José María Balcázar is formally impeached before Jul 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Aug 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether José María Balcázar has been formally impeached by that deadline. The outcome hinges on legislative action in the relevant governing body and whether the procedural and political conditions for impeachment are met. Traders should monitor official announcements, parliamentary proceedings, and political developments that could trigger or prevent impeachment before the resolution date arrives.

Key catalysts include formal investigations or charges against Balcázar, public scandals or corruption allegations, parliamentary motions or votes on impeachment, statements from opposition leaders or allies, and major policy failures or crises. International pressure or diplomatic incidents could also shift trader expectations. Additionally, changes in legislative composition or political alliances may alter the feasibility of impeachment. Media coverage and public sentiment can influence political will, while any legal rulings or institutional decisions affecting Balcázar's position may trigger significant market repricing before Aug 5, 2026.