TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
polymarket

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Volume:
$3,709,365

February 10

 - Polymarket

February 10 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

February 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$765,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 9

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 17

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 14

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$163,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 15

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 12

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 4

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 6

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 27

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 26

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 20

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 8

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

February 16

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 13

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 11

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 7

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 21

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 22

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 25

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 19

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

February 18

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.