TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:09 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Honeywell is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Honeywell’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.83 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Honeywell reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.83 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Honeywell releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Honeywell is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Honeywell’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.83 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Honeywell reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.83 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Honeywell releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they reflect different methodologies. Analysts typically issue point estimates and ranges based on financial modeling, while this market prices consensus through continuous trading and real-money stakes. Traders incorporate not only analyst reports but also recent company guidance, macroeconomic conditions, and sector trends. When prediction market odds deviate significantly from published analyst consensus, it may signal that traders are pricing in information or sentiment that Wall Street has not yet fully reflected.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into continuous probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell shares representing each outcome—beat or miss—and the ratio of capital allocated to each side determines the odds in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price accuracy, while lower activity can widen the gap between bid and ask prices. The mechanism incentivizes traders to correct mispricings, creating a self-correcting system that reflects evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once Honeywell's quarterly earnings results are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing reported earnings per share or other key metrics against the consensus estimate that was in effect at market creation. Resolution hinges on whether actual results exceed, meet, or fall short of that benchmark, as confirmed through credible public reporting and official company disclosures. Traders should monitor the earnings date and any guidance updates from Honeywell in the weeks leading up to the announcement.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Honeywell's forward guidance, management commentary during investor calls, and any material business updates will influence trader expectations. Broader economic data—manufacturing PMI, interest rate decisions, and industrial sector performance—may also impact the industrial conglomerate's near-term outlook. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, competitor earnings surprises, and changes to consensus estimates can trigger repricing. Additionally, any company-specific news regarding major contracts, restructuring, or operational challenges will likely drive trading activity and adjust the probability of a beat.