TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Crypto
Will GRVT launch a token by ___?
polymarket

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

Volume:
$155,632

September 30, 2026

 - Polymarket

September 30, 2026 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 10:34 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$60,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

December 31, 2026

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

June 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market on Polymarket tracks whether Gravity, the derivatives trading platform, will launch an official governance token that is actively tradable and transferable by the end of 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 94.8%. Resolution will be determined by GRVT's official communications and credible reporting, with the token launch requiring more than an announcement—it must be publicly live and tradable. Watch for any official token launch announcements from GRVT's social channels before the December 31, 2026 deadline.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the GRVT token launch prediction on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that GRVT will launch a token by the specified deadline, along with 24-hour volume of $48 and cumulative group volume of $155,632. Users can monitor price history, order flow, and market depth to understand how traders are positioning on this outcome. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, providing a live snapshot of market sentiment around GRVT's tokenization timeline.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' consensus on GRVT token launch timing, which may diverge from spot price movements of existing GRVT assets or comparable crypto projects. Spot markets price current supply and demand, while prediction markets isolate the probability of a specific future event. Analysts and on-chain observers often publish token launch timelines or roadmap expectations; comparing these forecasts to market odds reveals whether traders are pricing in earlier or later launch scenarios than public guidance suggests. Significant gaps may indicate new information or shifting sentiment.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution hinges on whether GRVT has launched a token by that deadline. The outcome is determined by verifiable evidence of a token launch—typically a confirmed smart contract deployment, exchange listing, or official announcement from GRVT. Traders should monitor GRVT's official channels, blockchain explorers, and major crypto news outlets for launch announcements. Any ambiguity around launch timing or token eligibility may be clarified by the market's resolution criteria before the deadline approaches.

Key catalysts include official GRVT announcements regarding tokenization plans, regulatory approvals or delays affecting token issuance, major product launches or partnerships that accelerate or postpone token economics, and on-chain activity suggesting imminent deployment. Competitor token launches or market sentiment shifts in the broader crypto sector may also influence trader positioning. Development updates from GRVT's team, community governance votes, and macroeconomic conditions affecting crypto fundraising timelines are worth monitoring. Any delays in roadmap milestones or pivots in strategy could shift market odds significantly.