TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) will close above $365 on the final trading day of the week ending May 25, 2026. On Polymarket, the probability of Google finishing above that threshold stands at 98.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official closing price from Yahoo Finance on the last trading day of that week, typically Friday, May 29, 2026.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street equity analysts publish consensus estimates for Google's stock performance, prediction markets aggregate distributed expectations from active traders with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. The market-implied probability on Polymarket represents a dynamic, crowd-sourced view that updates continuously as new information emerges, whereas analyst forecasts typically update on a quarterly or event-driven basis.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by Google's closing price on the final trading day of the week of May 25, 2026. The outcome depends on whether GOOGL's stock price finishes above or below the specified threshold. Traders should monitor official market data sources and the platform's settlement procedures as the resolution date approaches to understand exact timing and any potential edge cases.
Several catalysts could influence Google's stock price during the week of May 25. Quarterly earnings announcements, regulatory developments affecting big tech, macroeconomic data, and shifts in AI competition could all drive volatility. Product announcements, management commentary, and changes in advertising market conditions may also impact trader positioning. Broader market movements, interest rate expectations, and sector rotation between growth and value stocks represent additional factors that traders monitor when assessing the probability of Google finishing above the target price.