TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Five Below will report quarterly earnings that exceed analyst consensus expectations. On Polymarket, the probability of a beat stands at 90.0%. Resolution will be determined by Seeking Alpha's reported non-GAAP EPS figures compared to The Street consensus estimate of $1.71. Watch for Five Below's earnings release scheduled for June 3, 2026, which will settle this contract.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Five Below's actual quarterly earnings per share or revenue exceeds the company's guidance, consensus estimates, or pre-announced targets, depending on the event criteria. Official earnings announcements, SEC filings, and company press releases serve as the factual basis for outcome determination. Traders should monitor Five Below's earnings calendar, guidance updates, and any material business developments leading up to the resolution date to assess the likelihood of an earnings beat.
Key catalysts include Five Below's pre-earnings guidance or management commentary, comparable retail sales trends, consumer spending data, and any company-specific announcements regarding store openings, inventory, or strategic initiatives. Macroeconomic signals—inflation, consumer confidence, employment—affect discretionary retail demand. Competitor earnings and industry trends provide context for Five Below's relative performance. Analyst estimate revisions and rating changes can shift trader sentiment. Earnings preview reports, same-store sales updates, and any material news about supply chain or operations may trigger significant price moves as traders reassess the probability of an earnings beat.