TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 8:52 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Dollar General is estimated to release earnings on August 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Dollar General's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.00 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dollar General reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.00 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Dollar General releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Dollar General is estimated to release earnings on August 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Dollar General's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.00 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dollar General reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.00 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Dollar General releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
On Polymarket, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about Dollar General beating estimates. This can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may be more conservative or based on different models. Where analysts see a certain percentage chance of an upside surprise, this market often captures market-driven adjustments based on recent performance trends, news flow, and investor risk appetite. Comparing both offers a multi-layered view of market expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on Dollar General’s official quarterly earnings release and whether the reported earnings per share and revenue figures exceed consensus analyst estimates. Once the figures are publicly disclosed and confirmed, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Key signals include pre-announcements, analyst upgrades or downgrades, same-store sales updates, macro-economic data affecting consumer spending, and management guidance changes. Any surprise news—positive or negative—could shift trader sentiment quickly. Additionally, broader market volatility, sector performance, and investor risk sentiment may influence this market as participants adjust positions in the days leading up to the earnings announcement.