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Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
polymarket

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$1,120

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 6:17 PM EST

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Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Coursera is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Coursera’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.11 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coursera reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.11 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Coursera releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Coursera is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Coursera’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.11 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coursera reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.11 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Coursera releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Coursera earnings beat market dashboard displays real-time odds and trading activity for whether Coursera will exceed consensus earnings expectations in its next quarterly report. The dashboard tracks the current probability, historical price movements, and volume of $1,120 in total trading activity. This market reflects trader conviction about whether the online education platform will deliver a positive earnings surprise, with odds updated continuously as new information and trades flow in. The interface lets you monitor how sentiment shifts as the earnings date approaches.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional Wall Street analyst consensus because they incorporate real-money incentives and crowd wisdom. While sell-side analysts publish earnings estimates and price targets based on models and company guidance, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders betting actual capital on the outcome. Analysts may lag in updating forecasts, whereas prediction markets react instantly to news, earnings whispers, and shifting sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the analyst consensus, offering a useful cross-check for investors tracking Coursera's earnings prospects.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase outcome shares—either "Yes, Coursera beats earnings" or "No"—and the price of each reflects the crowd's aggregate belief. As more capital flows into one side, the price moves to reflect the shifting odds. The current odds reflect strong conviction among traders, with the market pricing a high probability of an earnings beat. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures transparent, up-to-date odds that respond instantly to new developments.

This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once Coursera's quarterly earnings results are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the company's reported earnings per share or revenue against the consensus estimate established before the announcement. If the actual result exceeds the consensus threshold, the "Yes" outcome wins; otherwise, "No" prevails. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting confirms the final figures, ensuring all traders have access to the same verified data. The exact timing may shift slightly if the earnings date is postponed.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Coursera's pre-earnings guidance, enrollment trends, or announcements about partnerships and course offerings may signal strength or weakness. Broader edtech sector performance, changes in online learning demand, and macroeconomic conditions affecting consumer spending on education can also influence trader sentiment. Earnings whispers, insider commentary, or analyst estimate revisions often trigger sharp moves in the final weeks. Additionally, competitor earnings or industry reports may reshape expectations for Coursera's performance. Real-time monitoring of company news and sector developments is key to understanding price swings in this market.