TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Colgate-Palmolive is estimated to release earnings on July 31, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Colgate-Palmolive’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colgate-Palmolive reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Colgate-Palmolive releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Colgate-Palmolive is estimated to release earnings on July 31, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Colgate-Palmolive’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colgate-Palmolive reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Colgate-Palmolive releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts approach earnings beats from different angles. Analysts typically issue point estimates and ranges based on company guidance, historical trends, and sector models, while traders in this market aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. The current odds reflect real-money conviction from a diverse set of participants, often incorporating forward-looking signals that formal consensus may lag. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the analyst community, highlighting potential gaps in expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market uses an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing "Yes" (CL beats earnings) or "No" (CL misses or meets but does not beat). The price of each share fluctuates based on order flow and liquidity depth, with the current odds reflecting the aggregate belief of all active traders. As new information emerges—earnings guidance updates, macroeconomic shifts, or sector-wide movements—traders adjust positions, moving the price in real time to reflect changing probabilities.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once Colgate-Palmolive's quarterly earnings are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing reported earnings per share or net income against the consensus estimate established by major financial data providers at the time of the announcement. A "Yes" outcome occurs if actual results exceed that consensus; otherwise, it resolves "No." Resolution is confirmed once the earnings figures are verifiable from credible public reporting and financial news sources.
Several catalysts can shift odds before resolution. Colgate-Palmolive's forward guidance, management commentary during earnings calls, or pre-announcement updates will influence trader positioning. Broader macroeconomic data—inflation, consumer spending, currency fluctuations—can impact expectations for a consumer staples company. Competitor earnings or sector-wide trends may also reset baseline assumptions. Additionally, any material business developments, product recalls, or strategic announcements from the company itself could prompt rapid repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of an earnings beat.