TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 2:12 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if BTC’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 21st, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET and October 5th, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if BTC’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if BTC’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 21st, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET and October 5th, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if BTC’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Bitcoin reaches $70,000 before $80,000, that outcome settles; if $80,000 is hit first, it wins. If both levels are achieved simultaneously — for example, within the same trading session — the higher price typically determines the result. The exact timing depends on when BTC first breaches either threshold, as recorded by widely accepted market data sources.
Macroeconomic announcements, major exchange listings, or institutional Bitcoin adoption announcements could quickly shift this market. A sudden rally driven by regulatory clarity or a large ETF inflow might push odds toward $80,000. Conversely, a broad crypto market correction or negative regulatory headlines could strengthen the $70,000 outcome. Technical breakouts from key chart patterns, high-profile whale transfers, and even geopolitical events that impact risk assets may also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations ahead of Oct 6, 2026.