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Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?
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Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?

Volume:
$2,696

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

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Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 11:59 PM EST

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,696
N/A
N/A
$2,291
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

The event concerns whether two political parties in Israel will submit a joint candidate list for the 2026 Knesset election by a specified deadline. It focuses on the potential collaboration between these parties in the electoral process. The outcome depends on a report confirming their joint submission within the given timeframe.

Kalshi

If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Sep 10, 2026 that Otzma Yehudit and the Religious Zionist Party submit a joint candidate list for the 2026 Israeli Knesset election no later than September 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM Israel time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the joint party list market dashboard shows real-time odds and price history for whether Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties will submit a joint list. It also displays 24-hour volume of $0 to reflect trader interest. This single-venue view lets you monitor how market participants price political developments without any cross-platform aggregation.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination hinges on official announcements or documented evidence of whether the parties submit a joint list, as reported by authoritative news and government sources.

Key events that could shift this market include official announcements from party leaders, coalition agreement drafts, public polling releases, and reactions from major political stakeholders. Media coverage of negotiation progress or setbacks often drives short-term price swings. As Sep 10, 2026 approaches, any final decisions or confirmations from credible sources will heavily influence trader sentiment and market pricing.