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Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?
polymarket

Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$294

Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 8:34 AM EST

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Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, AT&T is estimated to release earnings on July 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for AT&T’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if AT&T reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If AT&T releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, AT&T is estimated to release earnings on July 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for AT&T’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.59 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if AT&T reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.59 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If AT&T releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the AT&T earnings beat market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for whether AT&T will report quarterly earnings that exceed analyst consensus expectations. The interface tracks current market probability, 24-hour volume of $247, and cumulative trading activity in the AT&T earnings beat market. Traders use this data to monitor sentiment shifts as earnings announcements approach. The dashboard updates continuously, allowing participants to observe how new information and market developments influence the probability of an earnings beat throughout the trading period.

Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they reflect different methodologies. Analysts typically issue point estimates or narrow ranges based on company guidance and historical trends, while this market aggregates real-time trader conviction across a binary outcome. Prediction markets can incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk expectations that formal consensus may lag. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst earnings estimates provides insight into whether the market is pricing in a higher or lower beat probability than the professional consensus, revealing potential gaps in expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the cumulative order flow and the current probability implied by the pool. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. Participants profit by buying shares at lower prices and selling at higher prices as new information arrives or sentiment shifts. The continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to developments leading up to the earnings announcement.

This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, following AT&T's quarterly earnings announcement. The outcome is determined by comparing reported earnings per share or net income against the consensus analyst estimate established before the announcement. Once the earnings figure is verified against credible public sources and financial databases, the market settles to reflect whether the company beat, met, or missed expectations. Traders should monitor AT&T's official earnings release and major financial news outlets for the definitive figures that will trigger resolution.

Several catalysts can shift market odds before resolution. Macroeconomic data affecting telecommunications demand, such as consumer spending reports or employment figures, may influence expectations for AT&T's revenue and profitability. Company-specific announcements regarding network investments, dividend policy, or competitive pressures can alter the beat probability. Guidance revisions or pre-earnings commentary from management will likely trigger sharp price movements. Peer earnings reports from other telecom companies may provide benchmarks that traders use to adjust their AT&T forecasts. Finally, broader market volatility and shifts in sector sentiment can ripple through this market as traders reassess risk and opportunity.